Updated August 2026 · Five-month calibrated matrix
The warmest place in Europe in winter is Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain, with a 19.5°C average daytime high across November through March — the highest five-month average and the flattest curve of any city GeoRank tracks. But Larnaca, Cyprus, is the true November leader at 22.0°C and collapses fastest, down 6.0°C by January. A single "warmest in winter" number can't show both facts at once — the matrix below can.
GeoRank tracks calibrated daytime high for the same ten cities across all five months of the European winter. No single "warmest in winter" figure — the kind every published ranking uses — can show how a city moves through the season; this matrix can. Ranked by five-month average daytime high, with the November-to-January drop alongside it.
| # | City | Country | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | 5-mo avg | Nov→Jan drop |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas de Gran Canaria | Spain | 21.7°C | 19.9°C | 18.7°C | 18.3°C | 18.7°C | 19.5°C | −3.0°C |
| 2 | Santa Cruz de Tenerife | Spain | 21.1°C | 19.7°C | 18.4°C | 17.7°C | 17.7°C | 18.9°C | −2.7°C |
| 3 | Larnaca | Cyprus | 22.0°C | 17.9°C | 16.0°C | 16.3°C | 18.5°C | 18.1°C | −6.0°C |
| 4 | Nicosia | Cyprus | 21.8°C | 17.2°C | 15.4°C | 16.2°C | 19.4°C | 18.0°C | −6.4°C |
| 5 | Seville | Spain | 19.5°C | 16.2°C | 15.7°C | 17.4°C | 20.2°C | 17.8°C | −3.8°C |
| 6 | Limassol | Cyprus | 21.8°C | 17.6°C | 15.7°C | 15.9°C | 17.7°C | 17.7°C | −6.1°C |
| 7 | Alicante | Spain | 19.5°C | 16.7°C | 15.9°C | 16.4°C | 18.2°C | 17.3°C | −3.6°C |
| 8 | Paphos | Cyprus | 21.3°C | 17.5°C | 15.5°C | 15.5°C | 16.8°C | 17.3°C | −5.8°C |
| 9 | Heraklion | Greece | 20.1°C | 16.2°C | 14.7°C | 15.4°C | 17.4°C | 16.8°C | −5.4°C |
| 10 | Catania | Italy | 20.0°C | 15.9°C | 14.6°C | 15.5°C | 17.4°C | 16.7°C | −5.4°C |
Full month-by-month detail — including rainfall and outdoor-comfort hours for each city — lives on the individual month pages: November · December · January · February.
Two different cities can both be the correct answer to "warmest place in Europe in winter," depending on what winter means to you. Las Palmas de Gran Canaria has the highest five-month average — 19.5°C — and by far the flattest curve of any city here: its daytime high drops just 3.0°C between November (21.7°C) and January (18.7°C), then climbs straight back through February and March. Nowhere else in this ranking holds its temperature that steadily.
Cyprus tells the opposite story. Larnaca posts the single highest daytime high anywhere in the matrix — 22.0°C in November, half a degree ahead of Las Palmas's own peak — but collapses faster than any other city tracked: −6.0°C by January. Nicosia falls even harder, −6.4°C, and Limassol −6.1°C. Cyprus wins November outright and loses January by a wide margin.
A single winter-average number, the kind most published rankings quote, erases this trade-off entirely — it would show Las Palmas ahead in every month and miss that Larnaca is Europe's actual warmest city for a six-week window each autumn.
Annual sunshine totals are a poor guide to winter sunshine, and nowhere in this table makes that clearer than Limassol and Heraklion. Limassol logs 3,424 hours of sun a year — 617 more than Las Palmas's 2,807 — yet in December it manages only 190 hours to Las Palmas's 212. The extra summer sun does nothing for anyone planning around December daylight.
Heraklion is the sharpest case. Its 3,082 annual hours would put it among Europe's sunniest cities on a yearly ranking, but December sunshine falls to just 131 hours — the lowest figure anywhere in this matrix. No published ranking breaks sunshine hours out by month for individual cities, so this pattern goes unreported everywhere except here. See the sunshine map for every month, not just winter.
| City | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Annual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas de Gran Canaria | 207 hr | 212 hr | 216 hr | 202 hr | 244 hr | 2,807 hr |
| Santa Cruz de Tenerife | 189 hr | 193 hr | 194 hr | 186 hr | 232 hr | 2,772 hr |
| Larnaca | 226 hr | 189 hr | 194 hr | 194 hr | 254 hr | 3,392 hr |
| Nicosia | 215 hr | 191 hr | 189 hr | 190 hr | 251 hr | 3,288 hr |
| Seville | 187 hr | 175 hr | 198 hr | 202 hr | 228 hr | 2,974 hr |
| Limassol | 222 hr | 190 hr | 186 hr | 190 hr | 249 hr | 3,424 hr |
| Alicante | 176 hr | 172 hr | 187 hr | 180 hr | 222 hr | 2,805 hr |
| Paphos | 215 hr | 170 hr | 164 hr | 172 hr | 231 hr | 3,279 hr |
| Heraklion | 169 hr | 131 hr | 139 hr | 148 hr | 212 hr | 3,082 hr |
| Catania | 177 hr | 178 hr | 192 hr | 196 hr | 241 hr | 3,143 hr |
The two winners in this ranking stay warm for different physical reasons, which explains their different shapes on the matrix above. The Canary Islands sit at roughly 28°N, level with the Sahara, surrounded by the Atlantic on all sides. Water changes temperature far more slowly than land or air, so the ocean holds onto summer heat for months and releases it gradually through winter — a thermal-inertia effect that keeps Las Palmas and Santa Cruz de Tenerife within a couple of degrees of themselves from November straight through March.
Cyprus and the eastern Mediterranean don't get that buffering. Larnaca and Nicosia sit closer to continental air masses moving off Anatolia and the Middle East — warm in autumn, but increasingly exposed to cold snaps as winter deepens, which is what produces the steep November-to-January fall documented above. Cyprus's country page and Spain's cover both climates in more depth.
March doesn't have its own page in this cluster, but it's where the season turns. Outdoor-comfort hours jump sharply from January to March across the matrix — Seville goes from 182 to 316 comfortable hours (+134), Nicosia 188 to 299 (+111), Larnaca 219 to 312 (+93), and Alicante 202 to 304 (+102) — while rainfall drops at the same time: Alicante gets just 22 mm in March, Larnaca 36 mm, Nicosia 37 mm.
Daytime high itself barely moves for some of these cities — Seville climbs from just 15.7°C in January to 20.2°C in March, the biggest jump on the table — but longer dry stretches and more usable daylight make March feel like an earlier spring here than the thermometer alone suggests. See the full outdoor-comfort hours map for every city and month.
Each month below has its own full ranking, with that month's rainfall and outdoor-comfort figures broken out city by city — depth this hub deliberately leaves out so it doesn't duplicate them.
Two datasets, on two different time baselines, feed every table on this page. The daytime high figures come from a native ~1 km CHELSA maximum-temperature grid corrected with an ERA5 warming-trend uplift, calibrated to 2011–2025 normals — the most recent 15 years of data. Monthly sunshine uses SARAH-3 satellite data calibrated against 219 WMO reference stations; rainfall and outdoor-comfort figures use CHELSA v2.1 — both on the standard 1991–2020 climatology.
We label the two baselines separately on every table rather than stamping the whole matrix with one date range, because that would misrepresent one figure or the other. Full detail is on the methodology page.
Pin your home, switch the layer to daytime high, and step month by month from November through March across all ten cities in this matrix.
Sources: CHELSA v2.1 (temperature, rainfall) · ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus Climate Data Store — daytime-high warming uplift, 2011–2025) · SARAH-3 satellite sunshine data (calibrated against 219 WMO reference stations, 1991–2020). Methodology and accuracy bounds at methodology.